Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2971
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2971 · MSP → MDW
departs 4:15 PM CT · arrives 5:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±11 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.