WN 3036 · MIA → DEN

departs 4:11 PM ET · arrives 6:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 4pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.25 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3036 · MIA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?