Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 3093 · OGG → HNL
departs 9:55 AM HT · arrives 10:40 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3 4%
Sun 10/4 4%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
9am departures from OGG are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.