Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3093 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 3093 · OGG → HNL

departs 9:55 AM HT · arrives 10:40 AM HT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ 9am departures from OGG are usually not late

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3093 · OGG → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?