Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3161
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 3161 · DAL → LAX
departs 3:30 PM CT · arrives 4:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 9/30 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 23%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.69 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.