Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3161 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 3161 · DAL → LAX

departs 3:30 PM CT · arrives 4:40 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±6 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.22 in

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3161 · DAL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?