Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 3192 · PBI → ISP
departs 2:45 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 19%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
24%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at ISP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to ISP?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
2pm departures from PBI are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ISP
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.99 in
ISP (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.