Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 3192 · PBI → ISP
departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at ISP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ISP?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
1pm departures from PBI are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
ISP (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.