WN 3316 · MCO → OKC

departs 6:36 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +44 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.11 in

OKC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3316 · MCO → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?