Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3529 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

WN 3529 · DCA → PVD

departs 10:50 AM ET · arrives 12:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ PVD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3529 · DCA → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?