WN 364 · AUS → MCI

departs 2:26 PM CT · arrives 4:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip3.95 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 364 · AUS → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?