Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 364
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 364 · AUS → MSP
departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 3:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
12pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.