Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 368
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 368 · HOU → MAF
departs 12:25 PM CT · arrives 1:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+43 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +43 pts in 24h
+43 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +33 pts in 24h
+33 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +32 pts in 24h
+32 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
12pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.73 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.