Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3794 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

WN 3794 · SMF → LGB

departs 6:20 AM PT · arrives 7:50 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGB is prone to delays

↑ SMF is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LGB that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LGB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3794 · SMF → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?