Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 393
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 393 · AUS → SEA
departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 4:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 39%
Mon 10/5 26%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.69 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.