Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4403
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4403 · DAL → LIT
departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 10:45 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
9am departures from DAL are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into LIT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.54 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.