Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4403 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 4403 · DAL → LIT

departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 10:45 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at LIT that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into LIT at that hour are usually not late

↓ 9am departures from DAL are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.24 in

LIT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4403 · DAL → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?