Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4562
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4562 · DCA → FLL
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 5:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 34%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.72 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.