Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 483 · CVG → AUS
departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 56%
Sat 10/3 15%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 733 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 733 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.