Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 483 · CVG → AUS
departs 12:45 PM ET · arrives 2:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/1 54%
Fri 10/2 56%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.