Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 4848 · BNA → PBI
departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 6:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
3pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 2.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.