Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 4848 · BNA → PBI
departs 2:50 PM CT · arrives 6:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/2 48%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.43 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.