WN 54 · CRP → HOU

departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 7:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ CRP usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CRP (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 54 · CRP → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?