Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 54
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 54 · CRP → HOU
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 7:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5.6 mi Precip 1.38 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.