Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 726
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 726 · HOU → CRP
departs 5:00 PM CT · arrives 6:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 61%
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day
↑
5pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at CRP that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.73 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.