WN 747 · BNA → TYS

departs 10:12 AM CT · arrives 12:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 747 · BNA → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?