Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 901
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 901 · AUS → SNA
departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 5:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 40%
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
4pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.69 in
SNA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.