YX 4336 · PIT → DCA

departs 5:54 AM ET · arrives 7:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4336 · PIT → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?