Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4679
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
YX 4679 · DCA → PVD
departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 8:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 25%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
PVD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.