Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4752
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
YX 4752 · DCA → RDU
departs 5:59 PM ET · arrives 7:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.