YX 5653 · CMH → BOS

departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from CMH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5653 · CMH → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?