Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5751
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
YX 5751 · LGA → BOS
departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 10:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 42%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
35%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.