Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1163 LANDED 10:16 PM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

AA 1163 · DCA → BNA

took off 9:45 PM ET · landed 10:16 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±3 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

BNA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1163 · DCA → BNA

Odds over time