Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1243
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1243 · DFW → SAN
departs 7:02 PM CT · arrives 8:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±13 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to SAN?
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On time or early
39%
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15–30 min late
8%
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30 min–1 hour late
23%
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1–2 hours late
15%
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Over 2 hours late
8%
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Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.