tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1243 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1243 · DFW → SAN

departs 7:02 PM CT · arrives 8:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 4.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.