Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1271 LANDED 12:16 AM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 1271 · DFW → CHA

took off 9:49 PM CT · landed 12:16 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

CHA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1271 · DFW → CHA

Odds over time