Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1314 LANDED 9:11 PM CT, ~47 MIN LATE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 1314 · PHL → AUS

took off 6:45 PM ET · landed 9:11 PM CT (scheduled 5:39 PM ET → 8:30 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

AUS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1314 · PHL → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?