Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1357 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1357 · MIA → JFK

departs 7:50 PM ET · arrives 11:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MIA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

JFK (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1357 · MIA → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?