Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1458 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1458 · DFW → OKC

departs 9:29 PM CT · arrives 10:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.55 in

OKC (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1458 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?