Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1458 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1458 · DFW → OKC

departs 9:29 PM CT · arrives 10:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at OKC that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

OKC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1458 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?