tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1551 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 1551 · MIA → MEM

departs 10:28 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
48% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.0d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEM?

  1. On time or early
    46%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.