Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1588 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 1588 · DFW → AUS

departs 10:50 PM CT · arrives 11:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

70% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

AUS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1588 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?