Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1588 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1588 · DFW → AUS

departs 10:50 PM CT · arrives 11:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.60 in

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1588 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?