Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1599 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1599 · DFW → SAT

departs 10:50 PM CT · arrives 11:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 49% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.55 in

SAT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.99 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1599 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?