tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1743 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 1743 · ORD → PHL

departs 11:40 AM CT · arrives 2:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.