Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1775 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1775 · SDF → CLT

departs 8:19 PM ET · arrives 9:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SDF that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ SDF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.32 in

CLT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1775 · SDF → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?