Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1791 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 1791 · CLT → DTW

departs 7:28 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1791 · CLT → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?