Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1820 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1820 · DFW → EWR

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 11:31 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.49 in

EWR (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1820 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?