Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1820 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1820 · DFW → EWR

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 11:31 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

EWR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1820 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?