Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1826 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 1826 · EYW → CLT

departs 1:01 PM ET · arrives 3:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 45 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ EYW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EYW (origin) Gusts45 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.27 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1826 · EYW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?